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by Tom Cantrell
Start ý Oops
ý Once More, With Feeling ý Optical
Options ý Have It Your, and Our, Way
ý Lesson Learned ý Sources
and PDF
LESSON LEARNED
So, should I go on record saying DataPlay
is going to take over the world? No thanks; I learned my lesson. At
the same time, I wouldnýt go with those who say the optical story
is over and any would-be innovator is doomed.
Will DataPlay replace the racks of CDs
down at the music shop? Not any time soon. Will it obsolete everything
that fits in the zillions of 5.25'' bays in the world's PCs? Nope.
Nevertheless, I think there are some
critical applications where DataPlay makes a lot of sense. The compelling
issue is simpleýsize.
Look at portable CD players. Manufacturers
have done an outstanding job shrinking the players, but the partyýs
over. The footprint isnýt ever going to get smaller than the foot,
and the 5'' or so required by CD, CD-R, CD-RW, DVD et-al is just too
big.
If DataPlay can establish a beachhead
in applications like PDAs, hand-held games, sub-laptop PCs, super
cell phones, digital cameras, and the like, that would provide a foundation
for wider acceptance. After folks get used to enjoying the small size,
easy handling, light weight, and long battery life in those apps,
there would be a basis for DataPlay to proliferate into traditional
audio/video and PC markets.
Also, the whole pay-per-play aspect of
ContentKey may well come into fashion and represent a compelling advantage
for DataPlay over traditional media.
So, whatýs my prediction? I predict that
in five years Iýll know whatýs going to happen five years from now.
You can count on it.
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Posted with permission.
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